Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Arconatese
Home
3-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Pontedera
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Arconatese wins
0
Draws
0
Pontedera wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
26%
26%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Arconatese
last 4 at home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Pontedera
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Arconatese | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Arconatese
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
Pontedera
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Pontedera |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 17 |
Arconatese |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Arconatese face Pontedera in Serie D - Girone D. Arconatese have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Pontedera have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Arconatese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Arconatese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Arconatese, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Pontedera. Our top recommended betting pick is Arconatese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
