Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Pavia
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Pro Patria
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
35%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.67
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pavia wins
0
Draws
0
Pro Patria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Pavia
last 5 at home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Pro Patria
last 6 away from home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pavia | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Pavia
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
Pro Patria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Pavia face Pro Patria in Serie D - Girone D. Pavia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Pro Patria have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
Pro Patria's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pro Patria to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Pavia, a 35% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Pro Patria. Our top recommended betting pick is Pro Patria Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.67 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
