Ýokary Liga · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Aşgabat
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Merw
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
13%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aşgabat wins
0
Draws
1
Merw wins
30 Aug 2026
Merw
3 - 2
Aşgabat
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
33%
20%
Defence
33%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
79%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Aşgabat
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Merw
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.40
scored a game
3.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Aşgabat | Merw | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 1/8 13% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 6/8 75% |
At half time
Aşgabat
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
83%
Behind
17%
Merw
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aşgabat face Merw in Ýokary Liga. Aşgabat have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (0.4 points per game). Merw have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aşgabat won 0, Merw won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 79% probability backing Aşgabat, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aşgabat to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Aşgabat, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Merw. Our top recommended betting pick is Aşgabat Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Ýokary Liga.
