Liga 3 · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
SC Covilha
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Caldas
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.59 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
37%
Draw
31%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
SC Covilha wins
0
Draws
0
Caldas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
37%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
SC Covilha
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Caldas
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| SC Covilha | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 63% 5/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
SC Covilha
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Caldas
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
SC Covilha face Caldas in Liga 3. SC Covilha have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Caldas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (37% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 37% win probability for SC Covilha, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Caldas. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
