Liga 3 · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Lusitano Évora 1911
Home
0-1
Full time
Campo Estrela
Vitória de Sernache
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lusitano Évora 1911 wins
0
Draws
0
Vitória de Sernache wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Lusitano Évora 1911
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Vitória de Sernache
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Vitória de Sernache | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lusitano Évora 1911
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Vitória de Sernache
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Lusitano Évora 1911 |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Vitória de Sernache |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lusitano Évora 1911 face Vitória de Sernache in Liga 3. Lusitano Évora 1911 have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game). Vitória de Sernache have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Lusitano Évora 1911, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lusitano Évora 1911 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Lusitano Évora 1911, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Vitória de Sernache. Our top recommended betting pick is Lusitano Évora 1911 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Estrela as part of the Liga 3.
