Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Montalegre
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Maria da Fonte
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
14%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.26
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Montalegre wins
0
Draws
0
Maria da Fonte wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
6%
33%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Montalegre
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Maria da Fonte
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Montalegre | Maria da Fonte | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Montalegre
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
86%
Behind
0%
Maria da Fonte
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Montalegre face Maria da Fonte in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A. Montalegre have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Maria da Fonte have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With a 83% probability backing Montalegre, home advantage and superior chance creation make Montalegre to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Montalegre, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Maria da Fonte. Our top recommended betting pick is Montalegre Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.26 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
