Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Vitoria Setubal
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Lagoa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
23%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitoria Setubal wins
0
Draws
0
Lagoa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Vitoria Setubal
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Lagoa
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Vitoria Setubal | Lagoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Vitoria Setubal
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Lagoa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria Setubal face Lagoa in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D. Vitoria Setubal have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Lagoa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Vitoria Setubal, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vitoria Setubal to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Vitoria Setubal, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Lagoa. Our top recommended betting pick is Vitoria Setubal Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
