Ligi kuu Bara · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Young Africans
Home
4-0
Full time
KMC Stadium
Kagera Sugar
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Young Africans wins
0
Draws
0
Kagera Sugar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
73%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Young Africans
last 8 at home
8W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Kagera Sugar
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Young Africans | Kagera Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Young Africans
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Kagera Sugar
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Young Africans |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 22 |
| 16 |
Kagera Sugar |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Young Africans face Kagera Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara. Young Africans have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Kagera Sugar have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 92% probability backing Young Africans, home advantage and superior chance creation make Young Africans to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Young Africans, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Kagera Sugar. Our top recommended betting pick is Young Africans Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at KMC Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
