Serie A · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Lecce
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadio Via del Mare
Genoa
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
30%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lecce wins
0
Draws
0
Genoa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
33%
20%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Lecce
last 7 at home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Genoa
last 6 away from home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lecce | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lecce
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
10%
Behind
70%
Genoa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lecce face Genoa in Serie A. Lecce have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game). Genoa have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Lecce, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Genoa. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Via del Mare as part of the Serie A.
