Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Móstoles
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
RC Alcobendas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Móstoles wins
0
Draws
0
RC Alcobendas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
80%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Móstoles
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
RC Alcobendas
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Móstoles | RC Alcobendas | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Móstoles
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
RC Alcobendas
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Móstoles |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 20 |
| 15 |
RC Alcobendas |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Móstoles face RC Alcobendas in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Móstoles have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). RC Alcobendas have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Móstoles, home advantage and superior chance creation make Móstoles to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Móstoles, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for RC Alcobendas. Our top recommended betting pick is Móstoles Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 10:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
