Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Manchego
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Illescas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Manchego wins
0
Draws
0
Illescas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Manchego
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Illescas
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Manchego | Illescas | |
|---|---|---|
| 29% 2/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Manchego
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Illescas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Manchego face Illescas in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18. Manchego have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Illescas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Manchego, home advantage and superior chance creation make Manchego to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Manchego, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Illescas. Our top recommended betting pick is Manchego Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
