AfriPredictions
Ligue 1 · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Marseille
Home
2-0
Full time
Orange Vélodrome
Toulouse
Away
Our Prediction ☆ confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
19%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56% 1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63% 1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59% 1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73% 1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
W L W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
11:7
Goals
1.8
PPG
W L D W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
10:7
Goals
1.6
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Marseille wins
0
Draws
0
Toulouse wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60% Recent form 53%
73% Attack 66%
53% Defence 53%
50% Head-to-head 50%
61% Win probability 20%
Team news
Marseille

No absences reported.

Toulouse
  • M. Niflore · Knee Injury
  • A. Dønnum · Yellow Card
  • M. Amougou · Escape Clause
  • R. Messali · Thigh Problems
  • S. Oppong · Calf Injury
  • J. Vignolo · Inactive
  • A. Francis · Muscle Injury
  • R. Nicolaisen · Calf Injury

Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Home and away record
Marseille
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Toulouse
last 4 away from home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last 10 matches.
Marseille Toulouse
70% 7/10 Over 1.5 goals 8/10 80%
50% 5/10 Over 2.5 goals 7/10 70%
40% 4/10 Over 3.5 goals 5/10 50%
50% 5/10 Both teams scored 6/10 60%
10% 1/10 Kept a clean sheet 2/10 20%
40% 4/10 Failed to score 3/10 30%
At half time
Marseille
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 20%
Level 40%
Behind 40%
Toulouse
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 0%
Level 67%
Behind 33%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
4 Marseille 10 6 0 4 +8 18
12 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 +1 13
Match Preview & Analysis

Marseille face Toulouse in Ligue 1. Marseille have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Toulouse have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).

There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.

With a 61% probability backing Marseille, home advantage and superior chance creation make Marseille to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Marseille, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Toulouse. Our top recommended betting pick is Marseille Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Orange Vélodrome as part of the Ligue 1.
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