AfriPredictions
Segunda División · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Real San Joaquín
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Provincial Ovalle
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
11%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68% 1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66% 1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74% 1.27
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
D L D L W
1-2-2
W-D-L
6:10
Goals
1
PPG
D W W L L
2-1-2
W-D-L
5:8
Goals
1.4
PPG
Head-to-head
1
Real San Joaquín wins
1
Draws
0
Provincial Ovalle wins
22 Aug 2026 Provincial Ovalle 1 - 1 Real San Joaquín
21 Jun 2026 Provincial Ovalle 1 - 6 Real San Joaquín
Why this prediction
33% Recent form 46%
40% Attack 33%
33% Defence 46%
50% Head-to-head 5%
82% Win probability 7%
Home and away record
Real San Joaquín
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Provincial Ovalle
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last 10 matches.
Real San Joaquín Provincial Ovalle
90% 9/10 Over 1.5 goals 7/10 70%
60% 6/10 Over 2.5 goals 6/10 60%
40% 4/10 Over 3.5 goals 3/10 30%
80% 8/10 Both teams scored 7/10 70%
10% 1/10 Kept a clean sheet 2/10 20%
20% 2/10 Failed to score 2/10 20%
At half time
Real San Joaquín
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 30%
Level 40%
Behind 30%
Provincial Ovalle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 30%
Level 40%
Behind 30%
Match Preview & Analysis

Real San Joaquín face Provincial Ovalle in Segunda División. Real San Joaquín have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Provincial Ovalle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).

In their last 2 meetings on record, Real San Joaquín won 1, Provincial Ovalle won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.

With a 82% probability backing Real San Joaquín, home advantage and superior chance creation make Real San Joaquín to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Real San Joaquín, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Provincial Ovalle. Our top recommended betting pick is Real San Joaquín Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División.
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