Liga de Ascenso · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
AD Carmelita
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Cariari Pococi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
24%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AD Carmelita wins
1
Draws
0
Cariari Pococi wins
14 Sep 2026
Cariari Pococi
1 - 1
AD Carmelita
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
63%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
AD Carmelita
last 6 at home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Cariari Pococi
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AD Carmelita | Cariari Pococi | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
AD Carmelita
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Cariari Pococi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
AD Carmelita face Cariari Pococi in Liga de Ascenso. AD Carmelita have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Cariari Pococi have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, AD Carmelita won 0, Cariari Pococi won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 63% probability backing AD Carmelita, home advantage and superior chance creation make AD Carmelita to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for AD Carmelita, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Cariari Pococi. Our top recommended betting pick is AD Carmelita Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Ascenso.
