Liga Pro · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Emelec
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell
Leones del Norte
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.34
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
29%
Away
38%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
2
Emelec wins
0
Draws
0
Leones del Norte wins
18 Oct 2026
Leones del Norte
1 - 3
Emelec
31 Aug 2026
Emelec
2 - 1
Leones del Norte
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
40%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
33%
Win probability
38%
Home and away record
Emelec
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Leones del Norte
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Emelec | Leones del Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Emelec
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Leones del Norte
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Emelec face Leones del Norte in Liga Pro. Emelec have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Leones del Norte have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Emelec won 2, Leones del Norte won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (33% vs 38%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Emelec, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 38% probability for Leones del Norte. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell as part of the Liga Pro.
