Liga MX · Monday, 02 Nov 2026
Cruz Azul
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Banorte
Leon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
11%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cruz Azul wins
0
Draws
0
Leon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
86%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Cruz Azul
last 8 at home
5W
0D
3L
1.88
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Leon
last 8 away from home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
1.63
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cruz Azul | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Cruz Azul
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Leon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cruz Azul face Leon in Liga MX. Cruz Azul have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Leon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 82% probability backing Cruz Azul, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cruz Azul to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Cruz Azul, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Leon. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruz Azul Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 02 Nov 2026 at 01:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte as part of the Liga MX.
