Segunda División · Monday, 02 Nov 2026
Valladolid
Home
4-3
Full time
Estadio José Zorrilla
Leganes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
25%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Valladolid wins
0
Draws
0
Leganes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Valladolid
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Leganes
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Valladolid | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Valladolid
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Leganes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Valladolid |
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 18 |
Leganes |
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Valladolid face Leganes in Segunda División. Valladolid have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Leganes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 60% probability backing Valladolid, home advantage and superior chance creation make Valladolid to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Valladolid, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Leganes. Our top recommended betting pick is Valladolid Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 02 Nov 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio José Zorrilla as part of the Segunda División.
