Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Monday, 02 Nov 2026
Novara
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio Silvio Piola
Desenzano Calvina
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
29%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Novara wins
0
Draws
0
Desenzano Calvina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Novara
last 5 at home
0W
3D
2L
0.60
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Desenzano Calvina
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Novara | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Novara
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Desenzano Calvina
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Desenzano Calvina |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |
Novara |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Novara face Desenzano Calvina in Serie C - Girone A. Novara have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Desenzano Calvina have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 40% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Novara, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Desenzano Calvina. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 02 Nov 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
