Copa de la División Profesional · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026
Aurora
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Independiente Petrolero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aurora wins
1
Draws
1
Independiente Petrolero wins
21 Oct 2026
Independiente Petrolero
4 - 0
Aurora
05 Aug 2026
Independiente Petrolero
1 - 1
Aurora
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Aurora
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Independiente Petrolero
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Aurora
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
10%
Behind
60%
Independiente Petrolero
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aurora face Independiente Petrolero in Copa de la División Profesional. Aurora have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Independiente Petrolero have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Aurora won 0, Independiente Petrolero won 1 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 46% probability backing Aurora, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aurora to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Aurora, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Independiente Petrolero. Our top recommended betting pick is Aurora Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Copa de la División Profesional.
