USL Championship · Monday, 02 Nov 2026
Sacramento Republic
Home
1-0
Full time
Heart Health Park
FC Tulsa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
28%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sacramento Republic wins
1
Draws
1
FC Tulsa wins
04 Oct 2026
FC Tulsa
1 - 1
Sacramento Republic
06 Aug 2026
FC Tulsa
1 - 0
Sacramento Republic
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
33%
60%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Sacramento Republic
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
FC Tulsa
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sacramento Republic | FC Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Sacramento Republic
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
FC Tulsa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sacramento Republic |
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 6 |
FC Tulsa |
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sacramento Republic face FC Tulsa in USL Championship. Sacramento Republic have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). FC Tulsa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Sacramento Republic won 0, FC Tulsa won 1 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Sacramento Republic, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sacramento Republic to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Sacramento Republic, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for FC Tulsa. Our top recommended betting pick is Sacramento Republic Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 02 Nov 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Heart Health Park as part of the USL Championship.
