Premier League · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026
NEC
Home
1-0
Full time
MTN Omondi Stadium
UPDF
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
21%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
NEC wins
0
Draws
0
UPDF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
NEC
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
UPDF
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| NEC | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 56% 5/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 5/8 63% |
At half time
NEC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
33%
Behind
11%
UPDF
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
63%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
NEC face UPDF in Premier League. NEC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). UPDF have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 72% probability backing NEC, home advantage and superior chance creation make NEC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for NEC, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for UPDF. Our top recommended betting pick is NEC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at MTN Omondi Stadium as part of the Premier League.
