EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026
Newport County
Home
1-2
Full time
Rodney Parade
Crystal Palace U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
25%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport County wins
0
Draws
0
Crystal Palace U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Newport County
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Crystal Palace U21
last 5 away from home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Newport County | Crystal Palace U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Newport County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Crystal Palace U21
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport County face Crystal Palace U21 in EFL Trophy. Newport County have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Crystal Palace U21 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 16 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Crystal Palace U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Crystal Palace U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Newport County, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Crystal Palace U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Crystal Palace U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Rodney Parade as part of the EFL Trophy.
