National League Cup · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026
Wealdstone
Home
2-2
Full time
Grosvenor Vale
Derby County U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
17%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Wealdstone wins
0
Draws
0
Derby County U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
73%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Wealdstone
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Derby County U21
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
2.13
scored a game
2.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Wealdstone | Derby County U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Wealdstone
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Derby County U21
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
10%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Wealdstone face Derby County U21 in National League Cup. Wealdstone have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Derby County U21 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
Derby County U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Derby County U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Wealdstone, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Derby County U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Derby County U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Grosvenor Vale as part of the National League Cup.
