UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026
Villarreal
Home
0-6
Full time
Estadio de la Cerámica
Paris Saint Germain
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
26%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Villarreal wins
0
Draws
0
Paris Saint Germain wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
95%
66%
Attack
95%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Villarreal
last 7 at home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Paris Saint Germain
last 8 away from home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Villarreal | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Villarreal
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Paris Saint Germain
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 12 |
| 28 |
Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Villarreal face Paris Saint Germain in UEFA Champions League. Villarreal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Paris Saint Germain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 6 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Paris Saint Germain's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Paris Saint Germain to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Villarreal, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Paris Saint Germain. Our top recommended betting pick is Paris Saint Germain Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de la Cerámica as part of the UEFA Champions League.
