Division 1 · Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026
Burgan
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Shamiya
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Burgan wins
0
Draws
0
Shamiya wins
17 Aug 2026
Burgan
4 - 1
Shamiya
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
5%
53%
Attack
13%
73%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Burgan
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Shamiya
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.60
scored a game
3.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Burgan | Shamiya | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Burgan
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Shamiya
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Burgan face Shamiya in Division 1. Burgan have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Shamiya have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 15 (0 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Burgan won 1, Shamiya won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 92% probability backing Burgan, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burgan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Burgan, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Shamiya. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Division 1.
