Cup · Thursday, 05 Nov 2026
Volga Ulyanovsk
Home
5-1
Full time
Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)
Chertanovo Moscow
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
22%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Volga Ulyanovsk wins
0
Draws
0
Chertanovo Moscow wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Volga Ulyanovsk
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Chertanovo Moscow
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Volga Ulyanovsk | Chertanovo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Volga Ulyanovsk
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Chertanovo Moscow
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Volga Ulyanovsk face Chertanovo Moscow in Cup. Volga Ulyanovsk have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Chertanovo Moscow have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
Chertanovo Moscow's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Chertanovo Moscow to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Volga Ulyanovsk, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Chertanovo Moscow. Our top recommended betting pick is Chertanovo Moscow Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 05 Nov 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk) as part of the Cup.
