UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026
AEK Athens FC
Home
2-3
Full time
Allwyn Arena
Real Madrid
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.82 - 2.37
Win probability
Home
5%
Draw
10%
Away
85%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AEK Athens FC wins
0
Draws
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
95%
53%
Attack
95%
13%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
85%
Home and away record
AEK Athens FC
last 8 at home
7W
1D
0L
2.75
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
Real Madrid
last 8 away from home
6W
0D
2L
2.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AEK Athens FC | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
AEK Athens FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Real Madrid
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Real Madrid |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
AEK Athens FC face Real Madrid in UEFA Champions League. AEK Athens FC have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 6 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Real Madrid's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 85% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Madrid to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 5% win probability for AEK Athens FC, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 85% probability for Real Madrid. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Madrid Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena as part of the UEFA Champions League.
