Serie A · Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026
Atletico Paranaense
Home
1-3
Full time
Arena da Baixada
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Paranaense wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Atletico Paranaense
last 7 at home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Vasco DA Gama
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
0.88
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico Paranaense | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Atletico Paranaense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Paranaense face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Atletico Paranaense have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 68% probability backing Atletico Paranaense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Paranaense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Atletico Paranaense, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Paranaense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 04 Nov 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena da Baixada as part of the Serie A.
