Serie A · Thursday, 05 Nov 2026
Botafogo
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Atletico-MG
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Botafogo wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico-MG wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
20%
26%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Botafogo
last 8 at home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Atletico-MG
last 8 away from home
0W
3D
5L
0.38
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Botafogo | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Botafogo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
Atletico-MG
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Atletico-MG |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Botafogo face Atletico-MG in Serie A. Botafogo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Atletico-MG have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Botafogo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botafogo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Botafogo, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Atletico-MG. Our top recommended betting pick is Botafogo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 05 Nov 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos as part of the Serie A.
