UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 05 Nov 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
0-1
Full time
BayArena
Marseille
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
19%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bayer Leverkusen wins
0
Draws
0
Marseille wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
73%
Attack
73%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Bayer Leverkusen
last 8 at home
7W
0D
1L
2.63
points a game
2.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Marseille
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bayer Leverkusen | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Bayer Leverkusen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Marseille
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 31 |
Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen face Marseille in UEFA Europa League. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Marseille have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 53% probability backing Bayer Leverkusen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bayer Leverkusen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Bayer Leverkusen, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Marseille. Our top recommended betting pick is Bayer Leverkusen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 05 Nov 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at BayArena as part of the UEFA Europa League.
