UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 05 Nov 2026
Sturm Graz
Home
2-3
Full time
Stadion Graz-Liebenau
Celje
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
30%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
0
Celje wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
80%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Sturm Graz
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Celje
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sturm Graz | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Sturm Graz
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Celje
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sturm Graz face Celje in UEFA Europa League. Sturm Graz have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Celje have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 54% probability backing Sturm Graz, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sturm Graz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Sturm Graz, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Celje. Our top recommended betting pick is Sturm Graz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 05 Nov 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau as part of the UEFA Europa League.
