Serie A · Friday, 06 Nov 2026
Cruzeiro
Home
3-2
Full time
Governador Magalhães Pinto
Bahia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
24%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cruzeiro wins
0
Draws
0
Bahia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Cruzeiro
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Bahia
last 8 away from home
2W
4D
2L
1.25
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cruzeiro | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Cruzeiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
10%
Behind
50%
Bahia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cruzeiro face Bahia in Serie A. Cruzeiro have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Bahia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Cruzeiro, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cruzeiro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Cruzeiro, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Bahia. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruzeiro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 06 Nov 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto as part of the Serie A.
