Liga 1 · Friday, 06 Nov 2026
Persepam Madura Utd
Home
3-0
Full time
Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Arema FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
14%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Persepam Madura Utd wins
0
Draws
0
Arema FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
73%
46%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Persepam Madura Utd
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Arema FC
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Persepam Madura Utd | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Persepam Madura Utd
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Arema FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Persepam Madura Utd |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 |
Arema FC |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Persepam Madura Utd face Arema FC in Liga 1. Persepam Madura Utd have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Arema FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 70% probability backing Persepam Madura Utd, home advantage and superior chance creation make Persepam Madura Utd to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Persepam Madura Utd, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Arema FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Persepam Madura Utd Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 06 Nov 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium as part of the Liga 1.
