FAW Championship · Friday, 06 Nov 2026
Caerau (Ely)
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Pontypridd Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
17%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
0
Draws
0
Pontypridd Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
93%
86%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Caerau (Ely)
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Pontypridd Town
last 5 away from home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
3.20
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caerau (Ely) | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Caerau (Ely)
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Pontypridd Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pontypridd Town |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerau (Ely) face Pontypridd Town in FAW Championship. Caerau (Ely) have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Pontypridd Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 50% probability backing Caerau (Ely), home advantage and superior chance creation make Caerau (Ely) to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Caerau (Ely), a 17% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Pontypridd Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Caerau (Ely) Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 06 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
