Serie B · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Vila Nova
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Criciuma
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vila Nova wins
0
Draws
1
Criciuma wins
18 Jul 2026
Criciuma
2 - 0
Vila Nova
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
80%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Vila Nova
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Criciuma
last 8 away from home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vila Nova | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Vila Nova
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Criciuma
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |
Criciuma |
37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 62 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vila Nova face Criciuma in Serie B. Vila Nova have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Criciuma have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Vila Nova won 0, Criciuma won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Vila Nova, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Criciuma. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga as part of the Serie B.
