National League - North · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Chorley
Home
1-2
Full time
Victory Park
Hereford
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
21%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chorley wins
0
Draws
0
Hereford wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
60%
Home and away record
Chorley
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Hereford
last 8 away from home
5W
0D
3L
1.88
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chorley | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Chorley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Hereford
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chorley face Hereford in National League - North. Chorley have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Hereford have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Hereford's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Hereford to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Chorley, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Hereford. Our top recommended betting pick is Hereford Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Victory Park as part of the National League - North.
