National League - North · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Merthyr Town
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Hebburn Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
0
Hebburn Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
13%
40%
Attack
26%
26%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Merthyr Town
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Hebburn Town
last 7 away from home
2W
3D
2L
1.29
points a game
1.71
scored a game
2.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merthyr Town | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Merthyr Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Hebburn Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
0%
Behind
80%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Hebburn Town |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 |
Merthyr Town |
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merthyr Town face Hebburn Town in National League - North. Merthyr Town have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Hebburn Town have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Merthyr Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Merthyr Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Merthyr Town, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Hebburn Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Merthyr Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the National League - North.
