Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Leek Town
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Ilkeston Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leek Town wins
0
Draws
0
Ilkeston Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
26%
13%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Leek Town
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Ilkeston Town
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
0.88
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 100% 10/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 100% 10/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Leek Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Ilkeston Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |
Leek Town |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 20 |
Ilkeston Town |
17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -24 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leek Town face Ilkeston Town in Non League Premier - Northern. Leek Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game). Ilkeston Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Leek Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leek Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Leek Town, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Ilkeston Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Leek Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
