Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Workington
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Ashton United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Workington wins
0
Draws
0
Ashton United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Workington
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.38
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Ashton United
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Workington | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Workington
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Ashton United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Workington |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 17 |
Ashton United |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Workington face Ashton United in Non League Premier - Northern. Workington have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). Ashton United have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Workington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Workington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Workington, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Ashton United. Our top recommended betting pick is Workington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
