FA Cup · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Burton Albion
Home
4-0
Full time
Pirelli Stadium
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
19%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burton Albion wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
80%
26%
Attack
73%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Burton Albion
last 8 at home
2W
5D
1L
1.38
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Burton Albion | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Burton Albion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Burton Albion face AFC Rushden & Diamonds in FA Cup. Burton Albion have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for AFC Rushden & Diamonds to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Burton Albion, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for AFC Rushden & Diamonds. Our top recommended betting pick is AFC Rushden & Diamonds Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium as part of the FA Cup.
