FA Cup · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Milton Keynes Dons
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadium MK
Swindon Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Milton Keynes Dons wins
0
Draws
0
Swindon Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
86%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Milton Keynes Dons
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
3.13
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Swindon Town
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Milton Keynes Dons | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Milton Keynes Dons
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Swindon Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Milton Keynes Dons face Swindon Town in FA Cup. Milton Keynes Dons have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Swindon Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Milton Keynes Dons, home advantage and superior chance creation make Milton Keynes Dons to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Milton Keynes Dons, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Swindon Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Milton Keynes Dons Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadium MK as part of the FA Cup.
