FA Cup · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
York
Home
4-0
Full time
York`s LNER Community Stadium
Northampton
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
31%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
York wins
1
Draws
0
Northampton wins
10 Oct 2026
York
1 - 1
Northampton
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
80%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
48%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
York
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Northampton
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| York | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
York
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Northampton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
York face Northampton in FA Cup. York have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Northampton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, York won 0, Northampton won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 48% probability backing York, home advantage and superior chance creation make York to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for York, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Northampton. Our top recommended betting pick is York Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium as part of the FA Cup.
