Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
UD Santa Marta
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Calasanz de Soria
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD Santa Marta wins
0
Draws
0
Calasanz de Soria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
6%
46%
Attack
20%
86%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
78%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
UD Santa Marta
last 7 at home
6W
0D
1L
2.57
points a game
1.71
scored a game
0.57
conceded a game
Calasanz de Soria
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| UD Santa Marta | Calasanz de Soria | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
UD Santa Marta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Calasanz de Soria
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
14%
Behind
57%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
UD Santa Marta |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
Calasanz de Soria |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UD Santa Marta face Calasanz de Soria in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8. UD Santa Marta have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game). Calasanz de Soria have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 78% probability backing UD Santa Marta, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD Santa Marta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for UD Santa Marta, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Calasanz de Soria. Our top recommended betting pick is UD Santa Marta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
