Carioca - 2 · Monday, 09 Nov 2026
Nova Cidade
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Carapebus
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
14%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
59%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nova Cidade wins
0
Draws
0
Carapebus wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
78%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Nova Cidade
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Carapebus
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Nova Cidade | Carapebus | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Nova Cidade
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
44%
Behind
56%
Carapebus
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
22%
Behind
78%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nova Cidade face Carapebus in Carioca - 2. Nova Cidade have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Carapebus have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 59% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 78% probability backing Nova Cidade, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nova Cidade to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for Nova Cidade, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Carapebus. Our top recommended betting pick is Nova Cidade Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 09 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Carioca - 2.
