Serie B · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Avai
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio da Ressacada
São Bernardo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Avai wins
1
Draws
0
São Bernardo wins
18 Jul 2026
São Bernardo
1 - 1
Avai
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
51%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Avai
last 8 at home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
São Bernardo
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Avai | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Avai
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
São Bernardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 17 |
Avai |
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Avai face São Bernardo in Serie B. Avai have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). São Bernardo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Avai won 0, São Bernardo won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Avai, home advantage and superior chance creation make Avai to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Avai, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for São Bernardo. Our top recommended betting pick is Avai Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada as part of the Serie B.
