Ligue 1 · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026
Paris Saint Germain
Home
1-0
Full time
Parc des Princes
Estac Troyes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paris Saint Germain wins
0
Draws
0
Estac Troyes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
33%
95%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Paris Saint Germain
last 7 at home
5W
1D
1L
2.29
points a game
2.86
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Estac Troyes
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Paris Saint Germain | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Paris Saint Germain
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
Estac Troyes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 17 |
Estac Troyes |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Paris Saint Germain face Estac Troyes in Ligue 1. Paris Saint Germain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 20 and conceding 4 (3 points per game). Estac Troyes have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 93% probability backing Paris Saint Germain, home advantage and superior chance creation make Paris Saint Germain to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Paris Saint Germain, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Estac Troyes. Our top recommended betting pick is Paris Saint Germain Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 at 20:05 (East Africa Time) at Parc des Princes as part of the Ligue 1.
