Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Casalarreina
Home
3-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Yagüe
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
24%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Casalarreina wins
0
Draws
0
Yagüe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
40%
13%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Casalarreina
last 3 at home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Yagüe
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Casalarreina | Yagüe | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Casalarreina
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
13%
Behind
63%
Yagüe
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Casalarreina face Yagüe in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Casalarreina have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0 points per game). Yagüe have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Yagüe's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Yagüe to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Casalarreina, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Yagüe. Our top recommended betting pick is Yagüe Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
