Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Guadalajara
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Navalcarnero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
18%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guadalajara wins
0
Draws
0
Navalcarnero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
73%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Guadalajara
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Navalcarnero
last 8 away from home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Guadalajara | Navalcarnero | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 0% 0/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Guadalajara
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
13%
Behind
75%
Navalcarnero
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Navalcarnero |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |
Guadalajara |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guadalajara face Navalcarnero in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5. Guadalajara have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.6 points per game). Navalcarnero have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 46% probability backing Guadalajara, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guadalajara to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Guadalajara, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Navalcarnero. Our top recommended betting pick is Guadalajara Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
