Thai League 1 · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
BG Pathum United
Home
3-0
Full time
True BG Stadium
Rayong FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
16%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
BG Pathum United wins
0
Draws
0
Rayong FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
BG Pathum United
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Rayong FC
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| BG Pathum United | Rayong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
BG Pathum United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Rayong FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
BG Pathum United face Rayong FC in Thai League 1. BG Pathum United have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game). Rayong FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 71% probability backing BG Pathum United, home advantage and superior chance creation make BG Pathum United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for BG Pathum United, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Rayong FC. Our top recommended betting pick is BG Pathum United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at True BG Stadium as part of the Thai League 1.
