Eerste Divisie · Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Vitesse
Home
11:15
d ::
GelreDome
De Graafschap
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
34%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.75
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitesse wins
0
Draws
0
De Graafschap wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Vitesse
last 8 at home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
De Graafschap
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vitesse | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Vitesse
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
De Graafschap
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitesse face De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie. Vitesse have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). De Graafschap have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 47% probability backing Vitesse, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vitesse to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Vitesse, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for De Graafschap. Our top recommended betting pick is Vitesse Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.75 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 08 Nov 2026 at 11:15 (East Africa Time) at GelreDome as part of the Eerste Divisie.
